Duisburger vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duisburger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
AAA
4 - 1
DUI
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
DUI
2 - 5
PRE
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
TSV
4 - 1
DUI
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
DUI
0 - 3
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ROT
3 - 0
DUI
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
PRE
2 - 2
SWE
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SWE
5 - 0
TSV
69%
17%
15%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
KOL
2 - 0
SWE
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
SWE
2 - 2
AAA
62%
19%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
F95
3 - 0
SWE
74%
14%
11%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |