Due Torri vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Due Torri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
DTO
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DTO
0 - 0
REN
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 1
DTO
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DTO
2 - 0
CAV
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
DTO
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
5 - 1
GEL
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 2
SIR
9%
20%
71%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 2
REG
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 1
SIR
18%
24%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SIR
4 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |