DSO vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
43.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
16º
16º
30
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DSO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RKA
0 - 0
DSO
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DSO
1 - 0
SMI
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
DSO
61%
19%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DSO
1 - 0
HEE
33%
22%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 1
DSO
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 4
FCS
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HBS
0 - 0
NIE
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
POO
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
3 - 1
NIE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 2
ASW
46%
21%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |