Drautal vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drautal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
MSA
2 - 4
DRA
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
DRA
1 - 3
WAC
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
WEL
2 - 3
DRA
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
DRA
4 - 1
MSA
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
SPI
4 - 0
DRA
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FLC
2 - 0
RAP
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 3
FLC
74%
16%
10%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FLC
1 - 3
RAP
54%
23%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
SKA
2 - 0
FLC
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FLC
0 - 3
WAC
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |