Drancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.3%
64.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 0
DRA
26%
26%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DRA
0 - 0
BEL
38%
29%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 2
DRA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DRA
0 - 0
SED
17%
28%
55%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DRA
0 - 1
BOB
27%
28%
46%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 1
BEL
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SED
0 - 0
BAS
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCS
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LIL
0 - 2
BAS
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
OLY
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |