Drancy vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SML
1 - 2
DRA
62%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEH
0 - 2
DRA
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DRA
1 - 2
CAL
59%
25%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 2
DRA
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
DRA
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
BOU
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 0
ARR
22%
25%
54%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEH
1 - 2
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |