Drancy vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
AVI
0 - 1
DRA
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DRA
0 - 0
SED
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
REI
1 - 1
DRA
33%
26%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
DRA
1 - 0
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
IVR
1 - 1
DRA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
0 - 4
FEI
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIL
0 - 2
ARR
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 0
TRO
33%
26%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
REI
1 - 1
ARR
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |