Dover Athletic vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BIL
2 - 3
DOV
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DOV
0 - 0
STA
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TOO
1 - 1
DOV
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
DOV
2 - 1
HOR
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
DOV
2 - 1
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 0
SUT
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SUT
1 - 1
BOR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ASH
2 - 1
SUT
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 3
SUT
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HEY
0 - 2
SUT
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |