Dornbreite Lübeck vs Oldenburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
52.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
12º
33
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
HOH
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 2
DOR
47%
21%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 3
TOD
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ITK
5 - 3
DOR
78%
12%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 4
PRR
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 4
OLD
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OLD
5 - 3
WEF
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ECK
2 - 2
OLD
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 2
HOH
59%
18%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 1
OLD
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |