Dornberg vs Zweckel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ERK
3 - 0
DOR
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 2
HEV
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RBE
3 - 2
DOR
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 4
ROD
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ENN
3 - 0
DOR
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zweckel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
NEU
2 - 0
ZWE
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GUT
3 - 1
ZWE
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ZWE
3 - 2
WHE
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
3 - 4
ZWE
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ERH
2 - 0
ZWE
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |