Dorense vs AD Carmópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
AME
1 - 0
DOR
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DOR
0 - 2
FFC
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
DOR
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
ITA
12%
23%
65%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 2
SER
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 1
ADC
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 1
OSE
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 4
ADC
51%
22%
26%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ADC
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |