Holland Reserve League Beloften Eerste Round 10

Dordrecht U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis

Dordrecht U21 Willem II U21
16 ELO 25
15% Tilt 7.7%
28606º General ELO ranking 9780º
506º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
18.3%
Dordrecht U21
21%
Draw
60.7%
Willem II U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
Dordrecht U21
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.7%
Win probability
Willem II U21
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dordrecht U21
-27%
+82%
Willem II U21

ELO progression

Dordrecht U21
Willem II U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dordrecht U21
Dordrecht U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2017
FOR
Fortuna Sittard U21
3 - 2
Dordrecht U21
DOR
63%
18%
19%
16 18 2 0
30 Jan. 2017
DOR
Dordrecht U21
1 - 3
NEC Nijmegen U21
NEC
22%
20%
59%
17 25 8 -1
05 Dec. 2016
NEC
NEC Nijmegen U21
3 - 2
Dordrecht U21
DOR
75%
15%
11%
18 25 7 -1
21 Nov. 2016
DOR
Dordrecht U21
0 - 1
Fortuna Sittard U21
FOR
58%
19%
23%
18 17 1 0
31 Oct. 2016
WIL
Willem II U21
2 - 2
Dordrecht U21
DOR
68%
19%
13%
18 23 5 0

Matches

Willem II U21
Willem II U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2017
WIL
Willem II U21
2 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles U21
GAE
64%
19%
17%
25 20 5 0
27 Jan. 2017
HLM
Helmond U21
0 - 5
Willem II U21
WIL
56%
21%
23%
23 26 3 +2
05 Dec. 2016
WIL
Willem II U21
0 - 1
Helmond U21
HLM
44%
22%
33%
23 24 1 0
21 Nov. 2016
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles U21
6 - 5
Willem II U21
WIL
34%
23%
43%
24 20 4 -1
31 Oct. 2016
WIL
Willem II U21
2 - 2
Dordrecht U21
DOR
68%
19%
13%
23 18 5 +1