Dorados vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
UAT
1 - 1
DOR
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 3
DOR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
DUR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
CAZ
39%
27%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |