Donn FK vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donn FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 1
DON
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
DON
1 - 6
IEX
35%
21%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VIK
2 - 1
DON
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DON
4 - 1
EIG
37%
21%
42%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LUR
7 - 2
DON
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JER
0 - 1
STR
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
MJO
3 - 0
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JER
1 - 2
RAN
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FLO
1 - 1
JER
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
FKA
2 - 3
JER
27%
23%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |