Dongen vs Juliana 31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
3º
36
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GOE
4 - 1
DON
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DON
4 - 2
ORI
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EVV
0 - 0
DON
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RKV
1 - 0
DON
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DON
2 - 0
ACH
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Juliana 31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JUL
2 - 0
RKV
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HVC
2 - 2
JUL
21%
20%
60%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
JUL
4 - 4
ACH
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUL
31%
20%
49%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JUL
5 - 1
NEM
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |