Donegal Celtic vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
TOB
2 - 4
DON
25%
23%
51%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
COL
4 - 0
DON
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
2 - 1
DON
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
DON
4 - 4
POR
34%
25%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DON
0 - 3
GLE
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ARC
0 - 9
LIS
15%
20%
65%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 0
POR
32%
25%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIS
49%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
COL
0 - 1
LIS
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |