Donau Linz vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
3 - 1
DON
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
DON
1 - 1
SIE
46%
24%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
DON
1 - 1
BAD
42%
23%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SVT
3 - 1
DON
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VOR
4 - 0
DON
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
4 - 0
VIE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 3
GRO
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 4
GRO
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 2
SKN
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
WAC
1 - 0
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |