Domagnano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
1 - 2
FAE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
3 - 0
TFI
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 3
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 0
DOM
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COS
4 - 1
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
SGI
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 2
FOL
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |