Dnepr Smolensk vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
54.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DNE
1 - 1
PSK
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ZEN
3 - 0
DNE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
DNE
1 - 1
TOR
20%
25%
55%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
DNE
0 - 2
TEK
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 3
DNE
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOK
0 - 1
TOS
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
TOS
0 - 0
URA
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TOS
0 - 1
FCD
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
STR
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
PSK
1 - 3
TOS
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |