Dnepr Smolensk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
69.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 1
DNE
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
DNE
1 - 0
STR
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
DNE
65%
22%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
DNE
0 - 1
PSK
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
KOL
1 - 3
DNE
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SKA
0 - 0
YAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
YAR
2 - 1
TAM
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TOS
0 - 0
YAR
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
YAR
4 - 0
SPA
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
YAR
3 - 1
VLA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |