Dnepr Smolensk vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
ZNA
0 - 1
DNE
10%
20%
70%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
DNE
0 - 0
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
PSK
2 - 0
DNE
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
DIN
1 - 0
DNE
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
DNE
2 - 1
SPA
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 2
SAT
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
SAT
2 - 0
PSK
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
SAT
0 - 2
DIN
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 0
SAT
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SHC
0 - 1
SAT
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |