Denmark Fourth Division Relegation Round Round 8

Djursland vs ASA Aarhus analysis

Djursland ASA Aarhus
18 ELO 20
13.7% Tilt 1%
22315º General ELO ranking 13188º
233º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
45.2%
Djursland
21%
Draw
33.8%
ASA Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
Djursland
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
33.8%
Win probability
ASA Aarhus
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Djursland
Their league position
ASA Aarhus
CURR.POS.
31º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
23º
20º
24
28º
32º
31º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
29º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aarhus Fremad II
65
37
100%
OKS
59
34
90%
B 1908
13º
43
30
90%
Hedensted
52
28
45.5%
Viby
54
27
32%
Greve IF
53
27
25.5%
Skjold
51
26
68.5%
Varde IF Elite
12º
43
25
37%
10º
48
25
11.5%
Vaerebro BK 1968
15º
41
23
10º
65%
Kjellerup
22º
32
23
11º
37%
Tarup-Paarup
53
21
12º
31%
Tårnby FF
11º
47
19
13º
12%
KFUM Roskilde
17º
40
19
14º
16.5%
Allerød
14º
42
19
15º
10%
Aalborg BK II
52
19
16º
10.5%
Herstedøster
28º
26
18
17º
7.5%
Herlev
20º
34
18
18º
20%
Karlslunde
51
18
19º
10.5%
Djursland
31º
21
16
20º
28%
Næstved II
16º
41
16
21º
12%
Boldklubben 1909
18º
36
15
22º
25%
KFUM
27º
29
15
23º
32.5%
Brabrand II
26º
29
14
24º
30%
Gorslev
24º
30
13
25º
16.5%
Nörresundby FB
21º
34
13
26º
24.5%
B 1913
23º
31
13
27º
17.5%
VRI
25º
30
12
28º
45.5%
Slagelse B&I
19º
36
12
29º
39%
GVI
30º
24
10
30º
75%
ASA Aarhus
29º
24
7
31º
78.5%
Otterup
32º
14
7
32º
84%
Expected probabilities
Djursland
ASA Aarhus
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Djursland
ASA Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Djursland
Djursland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
DJU
Djursland
6 - 2
Kjellerup
KJE
20%
19%
61%
16 22 6 0
22 Apr. 2023
VRI
VRI
1 - 1
Djursland
DJU
70%
17%
12%
16 22 6 0
15 Apr. 2023
DJU
Djursland
3 - 5
Aalborg BK II
AAB
11%
17%
72%
17 36 19 -1
01 Apr. 2023
DJU
Djursland
1 - 2
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
10%
16%
74%
18 39 21 -1
25 Mar. 2023
VIB
Viby
2 - 2
Djursland
DJU
88%
9%
4%
17 36 19 +1

Matches

ASA Aarhus
ASA Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
ASA
ASA Aarhus
0 - 2
Viby
VIB
12%
16%
72%
21 37 16 0
22 Apr. 2023
KJE
Kjellerup
1 - 0
ASA Aarhus
ASA
61%
18%
21%
21 22 1 0
15 Apr. 2023
ASA
ASA Aarhus
1 - 3
VRI
VRI
56%
20%
24%
22 21 1 -1
06 Apr. 2023
AAB
Aalborg BK II
0 - 0
ASA Aarhus
ASA
83%
10%
6%
22 37 15 0
01 Apr. 2023
NOR
Nörresundby FB
2 - 2
ASA Aarhus
ASA
60%
19%
21%
22 26 4 0