Oberliga Bayern North Round 20

DJK Gebenbach vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis

DJK Gebenbach Jahn Regensburg II
44 ELO 40
15.8% Tilt 16.6%
5360º General ELO ranking 4803º
261º Country ELO ranking 224º
ELO win probability
58.6%
DJK Gebenbach
20.1%
Draw
21.3%
Jahn Regensburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
DJK Gebenbach
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.3%
Win probability
Jahn Regensburg II
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
DJK Gebenbach
-47%
+12%
Jahn Regensburg II

Points and table prediction

DJK Gebenbach
Their league position
Jahn Regensburg II
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
10º
17º
16º
41
13º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfB Eichstätt
74
74
100%
Eltersdorf
73
73
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
66
66
100%
ATSV Erlangen
62
62
100%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
53
53
100%
Weiden
50
50
100%
TSV Kornburg
47
47
100%
Neudrossenfeld
46
46
0%
Würzburger FV
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Bayern Hof
11º
43
43
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
TSV Abtswind
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Ammerthal
15º
35
35
15º
100%
DJK Gebenbach
16º
35
35
16º
100%
FC Eintracht Münchberg
17º
20
20
17º
100%
TSV Karlburg
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
DJK Gebenbach
Jahn Regensburg II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

DJK Gebenbach
Jahn Regensburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

DJK Gebenbach
DJK Gebenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
WUR
Würzburger FV
1 - 2
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
32%
23%
45%
42 38 4 0
26 Oct. 2024
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
2 - 3
TSV Karlburg
TSK
85%
10%
5%
44 27 17 -2
22 Oct. 2024
ELT
Eltersdorf
1 - 2
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
63%
20%
17%
43 53 10 +1
18 Oct. 2024
KOR
TSV Kornburg
2 - 4
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
49%
23%
28%
41 45 4 +2
11 Oct. 2024
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
3 - 0
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
36%
24%
40%
38 44 6 +3

Matches

Jahn Regensburg II
Jahn Regensburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 1
TSV Kornburg
KOR
36%
24%
40%
39 44 5 0
26 Oct. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
0 - 0
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
47%
23%
30%
40 42 2 -1
19 Oct. 2024
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
4 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
40%
23%
37%
39 41 2 +1
12 Oct. 2024
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
2 - 2
FC Eintracht Münchberg
FCE
70%
16%
14%
39 30 9 0
06 Oct. 2024
ELT
Eltersdorf
2 - 1
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
68%
19%
14%
39 52 13 0