Dixie State vs Houston Baptist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dixie State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 1
CST
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SUR
4 - 0
DXS
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SJS
3 - 0
DXS
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 2
UVL
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 0
RGV
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | +4 |
Matches
Houston Baptist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
NLV
2 - 1
HBH
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 2
AFF
6%
13%
82%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 3
GCU
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HBH
0 - 2
UIW
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 2
AFF
6%
13%
82%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |