Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda. Final
Global 5-2
Dinamo Zagreb vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FCR
1 - 2
DZG
25%
26%
50%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
DZG
3 - 0
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
DZG
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
DZG
1 - 0
HNS
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
DZG
6 - 3
IST
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 0
FHH
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
FYL
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEI
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
KAA
0 - 1
VAL
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 1
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |