UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-0
Dinamo Zagreb vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
NKV
1 - 3
DZG
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 1
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZAD
0 - 0
DZG
15%
23%
62%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
DZG
5 - 1
NKV
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 0
INT
76%
17%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 1
KHA
44%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKN
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FKN
0 - 0
SHA
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 3
FKN
40%
31%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKB
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |