Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 2-3
Dinamo Tbilisi vs DAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
DAC
1 - 1
DTB
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
DTB
5 - 0
GOR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 6
DTB
14%
25%
62%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
DTB
2 - 1
SIO
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SAB
1 - 0
DTB
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
DAC
1 - 1
DTB
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
DAC
0 - 0
ZLI
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
DAC
1 - 0
FTC
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
DAC
1 - 1
FHV
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 2
DAC
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |