Denmark U20s vs Sweden U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
TUR
2 - 0
DNK
31%
23%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 1
DNK
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 2
DNK
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
DNK
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
DNK
0 - 3
MEX
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
SWE
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1991 |
CIV
1 - 4
SWE
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
MEX
3 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |