Digenis Morphou vs AEP Polemidion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
4º
2º
7
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ASI
1 - 3
DIG
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 5
DIG
16%
21%
62%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 6
DIG
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DIG
4 - 1
ASP
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
APE
2 - 0
DIG
24%
23%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AEP Polemidion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AEP
1 - 2
IRA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 0
AEP
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
APE
1 - 0
AEP
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AEP
1 - 1
ENA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AEP
1 - 2
ETH
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |