Digenis Morphou vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MEA
0 - 1
DIG
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
DIG
2 - 2
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
DIG
1 - 1
PAE
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ASI
1 - 1
DIG
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
DIG
4 - 2
AYI
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
AEK
0 - 1
ARI
46%
23%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AEK
0 - 3
ASI
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ARI
0 - 0
AEK
53%
23%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AYI
0 - 3
AEK
24%
27%
48%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
AEK
2 - 2
OLY
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |