Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-5
Differdange 03 vs FK Spartak Subotica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
DIF
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
DIF
3 - 1
ETZ
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
DIF
7 - 0
RAC
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
RUM
1 - 2
DIF
21%
24%
54%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
DIF
5 - 2
JEU
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
FK Spartak Subotica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
FKS
0 - 1
CRV
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SME
2 - 0
FKS
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
FKS
0 - 0
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 3
FKS
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FKS
1 - 0
RAD
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |