Diadema vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diadema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAB
5 - 1
DIA
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
DIA
0 - 5
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
DIA
3 - 1
JAB
37%
24%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
USA
1 - 0
DIA
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
DIA
1 - 4
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
TAB
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TAB
1 - 3
OLI
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TAB
1 - 1
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 2
TAB
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TAB
1 - 0
JAB
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |