Devnya vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devnya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
VID
2 - 0
DEV
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
DEV
0 - 0
RIL
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
BEL
2 - 1
DEV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
DEV
0 - 1
DOB
31%
25%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SVI
0 - 0
DEV
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BVR
2 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
DOB
2 - 2
BVR
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
BVR
3 - 1
SVI
72%
17%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 1
BVR
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BVR
1 - 2
OFK
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |