Highland Football League Scotland Round 1

Deveronvale vs Wick Academy analysis

Deveronvale Wick Academy
32 ELO 35
11.3% Tilt 10.6%
9373º General ELO ranking 8980º
95º Country ELO ranking 88º
ELO win probability
35.2%
Deveronvale
21.5%
Draw
43.4%
Wick Academy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
Deveronvale
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
43.3%
Win probability
Wick Academy
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deveronvale
-2%
+54%
Wick Academy

Points and table prediction

Deveronvale
Their league position
Wick Academy
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
14º
14º
3
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brechin City
12
77
31%
Brora Rangers
9
77
27.5%
Buckie Thistle
12
77
23.5%
Fraserburgh
13º
4
72
24.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
5
65
17.5%
Formartine United
10
64
17.5%
Huntly
7
54
16.5%
Clachnacuddin
7
51
19.5%
Inverurie Loco Works
17º
0
48
20.5%
Forres Mechanics
7
48
10º
11.5%
Turriff United
11º
5
43
11º
12%
Nairn County
12º
4
40
12º
20.5%
Wick Academy
14º
3
36
13º
15.5%
Deveronvale
7
36
14º
22.5%
Strathspey Thistle
6
25
15º
24.5%
Keith
16º
1
21
16º
21.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
3
19
17º
29.5%
Rothes
18º
0
13
18º
49%
Expected probabilities
Deveronvale
Wick Academy
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Deveronvale
Wick Academy
Strathspey Thistle
Keith
Forres Mechanics
Brora Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deveronvale
Deveronvale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
NAI
Nairn County
1 - 1
Deveronvale
DEV
61%
19%
20%
30 37 7 0
05 Apr. 2025
ROT
Rothes
2 - 3
Deveronvale
DEV
18%
19%
63%
29 19 10 +1
02 Apr. 2025
HUN
Huntly
1 - 2
Deveronvale
DEV
76%
14%
10%
28 43 15 +1
28 Mar. 2025
DEV
Deveronvale
3 - 2
Keith
KEI
43%
23%
34%
27 30 3 +1
22 Mar. 2025
LOS
Lossiemouth
1 - 0
Deveronvale
DEV
20%
20%
61%
27 20 7 0

Matches

Wick Academy
Wick Academy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
INV
Inverurie Loco Works
2 - 1
Wick Academy
WIC
75%
15%
10%
36 51 15 0
05 Apr. 2025
STR
Strathspey Thistle
2 - 3
Wick Academy
WIC
14%
17%
70%
35 18 17 +1
29 Mar. 2025
WIC
Wick Academy
4 - 2
Nairn County
NAI
38%
23%
39%
33 37 4 +2
22 Mar. 2025
KEI
Keith
0 - 1
Wick Academy
WIC
35%
22%
43%
31 28 3 +2
15 Mar. 2025
WIC
Wick Academy
4 - 1
Lossiemouth
LOS
75%
15%
10%
30 20 10 +1