Highland Football League Scotland Round 16

Deveronvale vs Keith analysis

Deveronvale Keith
31 ELO 24
11.9% Tilt 3.8%
8979º General ELO ranking 9305º
83º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
68%
Deveronvale
16.7%
Draw
15.3%
Keith

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
Deveronvale
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.3%
Win probability
Keith
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deveronvale
-7%
-32%
Keith

ELO progression

Deveronvale
Keith
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deveronvale
Deveronvale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2018
COV
Cove Rangers
5 - 0
Deveronvale
DEV
87%
9%
3%
31 55 24 0
27 Oct. 2018
DEV
Deveronvale
0 - 4
Strathspey Thistle
STR
89%
8%
3%
33 14 19 -2
20 Oct. 2018
DEV
Deveronvale
1 - 2
Stirling University
STI
49%
23%
29%
34 34 0 -1
13 Oct. 2018
FOR
Fort William
0 - 8
Deveronvale
DEV
9%
15%
76%
34 7 27 0
06 Oct. 2018
DEV
Deveronvale
1 - 2
Inverurie Loco Works
INV
17%
20%
63%
36 49 13 -2

Matches

Keith
Keith
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2018
LOS
Lossiemouth
2 - 4
Keith
KEI
5%
11%
84%
23 9 14 0
20 Oct. 2018
KEI
Keith
2 - 1
Nairn County
NAI
16%
19%
66%
21 37 16 +2
13 Oct. 2018
KEI
Keith
0 - 4
Brora Rangers
BRO
7%
14%
80%
21 50 29 0
06 Oct. 2018
KEI
Keith
2 - 3
Formartine United
FOR
5%
11%
84%
22 54 32 -1
29 Sep. 2018
COV
Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Keith
KEI
90%
7%
2%
22 58 36 0