Deusto vs Ortuella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GAT
2 - 1
DEU
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 2
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CDS
1 - 1
DEU
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 1
CLU
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SDS
4 - 1
DEU
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ortuella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ORT
2 - 1
GAL
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
4 - 1
ORT
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ORT
2 - 1
CDG
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SFC
3 - 1
ORT
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ORT
0 - 1
APU
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |