Deusto vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
APU
1 - 1
DEU
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SNT
2 - 0
DEU
49%
26%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEU
0 - 0
CDS
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CDG
2 - 1
DEU
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DEU
1 - 1
IUR
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
SNT
38%
27%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
CDS
1 - 1
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
CDG
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
IUR
0 - 1
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DER
0 - 0
CDP
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |