Deusto vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CDS
1 - 1
DEU
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 1
CLU
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SDS
4 - 1
DEU
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
DEU
2 - 0
BER
60%
22%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
DEU
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
GAL
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
DER
34%
26%
40%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
CDG
32%
25%
43%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
DER
2 - 2
ORT
32%
26%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SFC
1 - 1
DER
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |