Deurne vs UNA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deurne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
DES
2 - 1
DEU
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
DEU
3 - 2
UNA
42%
26%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
DEU
1 - 1
OJC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
EVV
1 - 1
DEU
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
DEU
3 - 0
MEE
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
UNA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UNA
3 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
DEU
3 - 2
UNA
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
UNA
2 - 0
PAP
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
OJC
2 - 2
UNA
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
UNA
1 - 0
BEN
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |