Nacional . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Palmeira vs Clube Sportivo Mindelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BEH
0 - 1
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
VFC
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CFS
2 - 1
PAL
4%
11%
85%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
CFS
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VFC
2 - 3
PAL
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Clube Sportivo Mindelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
UDS
0 - 1
CSM
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 0
CDT
85%
10%
4%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JCN
0 - 3
CSM
7%
15%
79%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CSM
0 - 0
JCN
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CDT
0 - 1
CSM
5%
13%
82%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |