Desportivo de Nacala vs Desportivo Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
DES
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DES
6 - 1
NIA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
DES
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
DES
0 - 1
HCB
39%
30%
31%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
DES
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DMA
1 - 1
FCC
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
DMA
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 0
DMA
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
DMA
1 - 1
QUE
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NIA
1 - 0
DMA
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |