Série D Brazil Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 1-4
Desportiva Ferroviária vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
DES
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
OPE
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
IRA
1 - 1
OPE
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 1
CEU
69%
19%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 0
OPE
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 3
IRA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |