Desna Chernihiv vs Poltava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
DES
0 - 2
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 0
DES
37%
29%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
HEL
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TYT
0 - 1
DES
37%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
AVA
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
BUK
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
STA
2 - 1
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
SUM
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
NYV
3 - 0
POL
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |