DESK vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
OJC
4 - 0
DES
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
DIJ
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DES
0 - 0
EHC
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DES
0 - 3
NUE
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 3
EHC
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
VEN
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 1
NUE
56%
20%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MEE
0 - 1
VEN
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 3
BLA
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |