DESK vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 1
DES
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
DES
1 - 4
PAP
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
GEL
3 - 3
DES
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
UDI
1 - 2
DES
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
DES
3 - 2
DIJ
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
OJC
1 - 0
GEM
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
EVV
3 - 4
GEM
56%
21%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
GEM
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
UNA
5 - 0
GEM
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
GEM
1 - 3
BAR
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |