Desio vs Real Milano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NIB
4 - 3
DES
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DES
1 - 1
VER
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 1
DES
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DES
4 - 3
OGG
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PAI
6 - 1
DES
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Milano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
REA
2 - 2
TRE
63%
19%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
REA
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
REA
2 - 1
BRU
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
REA
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
SCA
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |