Des Moines Menace vs St. Louis Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
THU
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
KOK
0 - 2
DES
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
KOK
2 - 0
DES
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
DES
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
DES
9 - 0
WSA
88%
10%
3%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
WSA
2 - 2
STL
18%
19%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
THU
3 - 3
STL
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
STL
0 - 1
CHI
20%
22%
57%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
STL
0 - 4
THU
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 1
STL
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |