AS Deruta vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
DER
65%
21%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DER
0 - 0
FLA
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ORV
2 - 2
DER
45%
26%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
ASD
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 3
DER
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SSD
3 - 3
VOL
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 3
SSD
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PON
5 - 1
SSD
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 0
FLA
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ORV
3 - 1
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |