Derthona vs Sanremese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
ART
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SES
1 - 1
DER
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
GOZ
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
LIG
0 - 0
DER
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
DER
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
SES
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIG
4 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASD
61%
24%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 2
SAN
14%
22%
64%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASD
60%
24%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |