Derthona vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+254%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SCC
1 - 2
DER
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
CUN
22%
25%
53%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +3 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 1
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
ACD
15%
24%
62%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BIE
2 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LAV
1 - 1
SCC
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
CUN
1 - 1
LAV
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LAV
2 - 3
CAS
32%
26%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACD
0 - 0
LAV
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LAV
2 - 2
BIE
20%
25%
56%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |